A fractional model for the COVID-19 pandemic: Application to Italian data

  • Authors
  • Alòs E, Mancino ME, Merino R, Sanfelici S
  • UPF authors
  • ALOS ALCALDE, ELISA;
  • Type
  • Articles de recerca
  • Journal títle
  • Stochastic Analysis and Its Applications
  • Publication year
  • 2020
  • Pages
  • 0-0
  • ISSN
  • 0736-2994
  • Publication State
  • Publicat
  • Abstract
  • We provide a probabilistic SIRD model for the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy, where we allow the infection, recovery and death rates to be random. In particular, the underlying random factor is driven by a fractional Brownian motion. Our model is simple and needs only some few parameters to be calibrated.
  • Complete citation
  • Alòs E, Mancino ME, Merino R, Sanfelici S. A fractional model for the COVID-19 pandemic: Application to Italian data. Stochastic Analysis and Its Applications 2020; ( ).
Bibliometric indicators
  • 1 times cited Scopus
  • 0 times cited WOS
  • Índex Scimago de 0.535(2020)